Forecast Discussion
000 FXUS64 KMEG 192340 AFDMEG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 640 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 126 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024 Cloudy conditions will persist through most of the weekend but most of the rain/thunderstorms should end by Sunday afternoon. The upcoming work week looks to start off cool but temperatures should trend back to near normal after midweek. Rain and thunderstorms will return to much of the region by Thursday. && .DISCUSSION... (This evening through next Thursday) Issued at 126 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024 Zonal flow is in place across much of the Mississippi River Valley. A 125kt upper level jet is positioned from Missouri into the Ohio Valley resulting in cloudy conditions across the Midsouth. Conditions do not look to change much until late Sunday when a very positively tilted trough swings out of the Plains. Guidance is in fairly good agreement in bringing the trough axis east of the Mississippi River Sunday evening which should result in the first sighting of sunshine in several days. In the meantime, periods of light showers and cloudy skies will continue. A thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out, but nothing strong or severe is expected. High pressure will build in from the west early in the work week resulting in warming temperatures and dry conditions. However, before the warmer conditions arrive, Monday should be our coolest period out of the next seven days featuring morning lows in the upper 30s to low 40s. Patchy frost is possible in west Tennessee, especially near the Tennessee River. High temperatures Tuesday and Wednesday should be near normal, in the low to middle 70s. Another cold front will usher in a chance of rain and cooler temperatures after midweek. 30/Sirmon && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 631 PM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024 MVFR cigs roughly cover the region from I-40 southward. Cigs will gradually improve overnight as drier air works into the region. VFR cigs areawide on Saturday. Overrunning rain will spread into the southern half of the Mid-South Saturday afternoon. NE winds 7-10 kts overnight will increase to 10-14 kts with some higher gusts Saturday morning. && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. && $$ PUBLIC FORECAST...JDS AVIATION...SJM