Forecast Discussion

282
FXUS64 KMEG 160532
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1232 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

- A Wind Advisory is in effect through 7 AM Monday morning for wind
  gusts of 35 to 45 mph.

- Freeze Warnings and Watches are in effect for the Mid-South
  Monday and Tuesday mornings.

- A return of much warmer temperatures is expected late this week
  into the start of next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Mon Mar 16 2026

Latest surface analysis places a cold front from Middle Tennessee
back through northwest Alabama and back through central and
southern Mississippi. A few post-frontal rain showers are located
mostly east of the Mississippi River. Temperatures as of 11 PM
range from the lower to middle 40s west of the Mississippi River,
and 50s to lower 60s across the remainder of the Mid-South.
Confidence remains high for mainly dry weather throughout the
week, very cold temperatures for early this week, followed by
well above normal temperatures for late week into the start of
next weekend.

Short-term CAMs indicate a low potential (028-
     035-036-048-049-058.

     Freeze Warning from 4 AM early this morning to noon CDT today
     for ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058.

     Freeze Watch from this evening through Tuesday morning for
     ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058.

MO...Wind Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for MOZ113-115.

     Freeze Warning from 4 AM early this morning to noon CDT today
     for MOZ113-115.

     Freeze Watch from this evening through Tuesday morning for
     MOZ113-115.

MS...Wind Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for MSZ001>017-020>024.

     Freeze Warning from 4 AM early this morning to noon CDT today
     for MSZ001>015-020>022.

     Freeze Watch from this evening through Tuesday morning for
     MSZ001>017-020>024.

TN...Wind Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for TNZ001>004-019>022-
     048>055-088>092.

     Freeze Warning from 4 AM early this morning to noon CDT today
     for TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092.

     Freeze Watch from this evening through Tuesday morning for
     TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092.

&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...CJC
AVIATION...CJC